Strong Post-pandemic Growth Expected into 2022-23 for North America

Yosyf Sheremeta
Yosyf Sheremeta

SUMMARY.  After the GDP declined 3.5% last year, the worst performance in almost 75 years, the US economy is set for a strong comeback.  There are many reasons to be optimistic about the economy for the next few years, including strong readings of macro-economic factors combined with the economic cycle reset backed by government initiatives and policies.

Our positive outlook is based on the reviews of key economic indicators, including GDP, unemployment, and inflation. 

During H1 2021, we witnessed a strong level of activities and a rebound for many industries.  As local governments eased lockdown restrictions, service-oriented industries gained traction and that translated to an overall increase of economic activities across many industries. 

We expect this level of rebound to continue and we now expect even stronger overall growth for 2021.  The US economy is on track to reach or even surpass the growth level of 1984 – the highest one since 1950s.  In the near term, consumer spending will help drive demand and support the strong growth trend.

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DATAPOINT: NA Excavators, 2021 Production: 19,900 Units

19,900 units is the estimate by Power Systems Research of the number of Excavators to be produced in North America in 2021.

This information comes from industry interviews and from two proprietary databases maintained by Power Systems Research: EnginLink™ , which provides information on engines, and OE Link™, a database of equipment manufacturers.

Market Share: With combined plant totals of 47.5% Caterpillar leads in production of excavators in North America.  In second position is Doosan Bobcat with 22%; third, is Deere-Hitachi with 14.5%.  

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Komatsu Unveils Concept of Fully Electric Compact Excavator

Akihiro Komuro
Akihiro Komuro

On May 13, Komatsu announced that it had developed a fully electric compact excavator equipped with lithium-ion batteries. This is Komatsu’s first excavator that does not use cylinders or other hydraulic equipment in the drive unit. In addition to emitting no exhaust gas, the new excavator can be operated remotely and can be used in dangerous places.

Komatsu, which celebrated the 100th anniversary of its founding on May 13, announced this concept model as a response to a decarbonized society.

For the time being, the company does not plan to sell it to the general public. This model is connected to the outside world via wireless LAN, and the driver can operate it remotely without boarding the machine. The remote operation makes it suitable for indoor demolition, disaster rescue, and other dangerous work sites.

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Müller Launches Rigid Off-Highway Truck MDT430 in Brazil

Fabio Ferraresi
Fabio Ferraresi

The Brazilian group that acquired Randon Veículos, the division of Randon group that produced OH Trucks and Construction Equipment, at the end of 2020 launched the first model under the Müller brand. It has a 350 HP Turbo Intercooler produced by Scania and an Allisson Automatic Transmission.

Source: M&T     Read The Article

PSR Analysis: Whether lucky or visionary, Müller is well positioned to produce positive results in coming years. While mining activity in Brazil is growing with record commodities prices and public bids for new exploration areas are expanding, competitors are mostly imported and suffer from exchange rate effects. PSR

Fabio Ferraresi is Director Business, Development-South America, for Power Systems Research

Pandemic Reduces Moscow 2021 Oil and Gas Show

Maxim Sakov
Maxim Sakov

MOSCOW–The recently-completed Neftegaz (the International Exhibition for Equipment and Technologies for Oil and Gas Industries) trade show held at the Moscow Expocenter was smaller than in the past. This fair is conducted every two years and is a largest local event in the oil and gas industry. This year’s fair was held April 26-29.

It’s a small trade show, and it was even this year than in past years. The number of participants was down from 550 to about 400 companies representing 18 countries. The largest delegations (besides Russia itself) were presented by Germany and China. Germany has set national expositions on the fair.

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Mining World Moscow 2021 Reopens Without Major Exhibitors

 MOSCOW (April 21, 2021)–After only a seven-month break, the Mining World Russia trade show has started again, without many major exhibitors. The last Mining World event was conducted in October 2020.

Maxim Sakov
Maxim Sakov

This year’s fair started April 20 in the same place – the Crocus Expo Center Moscow. There were no significant changes since the last event. The amount of occupied space was similar, and the number of participants was about the same (167 companies versus 176 last time).

However, the number of countries has increased significantly – to 20. There were exhibitors from Australia, USA, Canada, U.K., India, China and so on. Large machine samples, including crawler drills, have been brought by Turkish companies. Germany is presenting a national exposition at the fair (in spite of pessimistic announcements made by German top officials regarding coal mining recently). Belorussian Belaz also presented at the show.   

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Doosan Infracore Unveils Wheel Loader with “Transparent Bucket”

Doosan Infracore announced in March that it had introduced the industry’s first wheel loader with a “transparent bucket” function.

The transparent bucket is a system that allows the wheel loader driver to see even blind spots in front of the bucket through the monitor in the cockpit. The innovative system records images in front of the wheel loader with cameras installed at the top and bottom and shows the combined images in real time using a curved projection method.

The front of the wheel loader has been considered a major safety issue due to blind spots. With the transparent bucket function, however, the driver can easily check the blind spot in front of the bucket with a monitor to prevent safety accidents.

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Increased Utilization Fees for Vehicles Planned

Russian authorities plan to increase vehicle utilization fees in 2021, according to automotive sources.

Utilization fees could be increased by as much as 25-30% for all types of vehicles, including special machinery, according to industry sources. This measure would be accompanied by a comparable devaluation of the national currency, which would reduce trade barriers.

Utilization fees were implemented in 2012. It was always considered as a compensation of Custom’s tax reduce after Russia’s entry into WTO. It was set in Russian Rubles. Initially, the fees were paid by the importers only. However, they later were expanded to everybody, but then local OEMs started receiving industrial subsidies, compensating for this fee.

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PSR Analysis: With reduced tax collection and increased State expenses in 2020, Russian authorities are seeking sources to compensate for income losses. Increasing utilization fees is one way to do this.    PSR

Maxim Sakov is Market Consultant – Russia Operations for Power Systems Research

DATAPOINT: US Excavators, 2020 Production Forecast, 17,125 Unit

The 17,125 units is the estimate by Power Systems Research of the number of Excavators to be produced in the U.S. in 2020.

This information comes from industry interviews and from two proprietary databases maintained by Power Systems Research: EnginLink™ , which provides information on engines, and OE Link™, a database of equipment manufacturers.

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COVID Delays Trade Shows

Maxim Sakov
Maxim Sakov

MOSCOW–October in Russia has seen increasing restrictions related to the COVID quarantine placed on trade shows. Most shows which normally would be held at this time, have been cancelled or shifted to 2021.

Fairs such as “Busworld” and “Interauto” will not take place this year. However, some events have been included on a so called “exception list,” or official list of trade shows and congresses, planned to be conducted in here from Oct. 20, 2020, to 30 Nov. 30, 2020. Among these events are Mining World and the Heat and Power trade show, held Oct. 27 – 29 in the Crocus Expo Center here.

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