Battery Electric Trends & Analysis

Follow PSR’s team of analysts as they track the rapidly expanding global battery electric power market, including, battery technology, transportation, eMobility, mergers and acquisitions and more.

2023 Global E-Bike Market Hit US$38.3 Billion

Michael Aistrup

The E-bike market size was estimated at USD 38.3 billion in 2023 and is forecast by Power Systems Research to increase to $97.3 B in 2033 with a CAGR of 9.77% between 2024 and 2033.  Cities globally are investing in dedicated bike lanes, charging stations, and bike-sharing initiatives for facilitating easier e-bike usage. Moreover, consumers are drawn to the substantial cost savings offered by electric solutions compared to conventional vehicles.

E-Bike Market Trends. Several important technological trends have boosted the production and sales of e-bikes.

  • Battery Technology. Improved batteries provide lighter weight, lower cost, longer range and quicker charging times.
  • Smart features, such as GPS navigation, app connectivity, and digital displays enhance the user experience, making e-bikes more appealing and user-friendly.
  • Shared micro-mobility is part of the public transportation ecosystem. As a flexible transportation option with comparatively low overhead and operation costs, shared micro-mobility can complement higher-volume fixed-route transit services by offering mobility services for many trips at a lower per-traveler cost.
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Hyundai To Double Number of Hybrid Models

SOUTH KOREA REPORT

Hyundai Motor in August announced plans to expand its lineup of hybrid vehicles from seven to 14 models in response to slowing global demand for electric vehicles. The company will also use HVs for the first time in its Genesis luxury car brand. The company also announced plans to increase its annual global sales volume by 30% from 2023 to 5.55 million units by 2030, and to invest 120.5 trillion won (about 13 trillion yen) in R&D and capital investment over the 10 years out to 2033. The company will focus on advanced technologies such as next-generation HVs, in-vehicle batteries and automated driving technology.

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EV Sales Headed for Long-Term Growth

ALTERNATIVE POWER REPORT

The short-term picture for EV growth is mixed, but long-term prospects look good. EV sales will continue to grow despite the mixed near-term outlook, according to BloombergNEF’s Long-Term Electric Vehicle Outlook (EVO) which indicates that rapidly falling battery prices, advancements in next-gen battery technology, and improving relative economics of EVs with ICE counterparts continue to underpin long-term EV growth globally.

Global passenger EV sales are expected to continue to grow, but at a slower pace in the next few years.

Source: Electrek: Read The Article

PSR Analysis: We have seen articles incorrectly claiming that the EV market is in decline, so it’s a welcome article that lays out clearly why the market is expected to slow but not decline while ICE engines peaked in 2017 and have started a long term decline. PSR

Guy Youngs is Forecast & Adoption Lead at Power Systems Research

Hitachi Demonstrates Ultra-Large Electric Dump Truck

JAPAN REPORT

By Akihiro Komuro, Research Analyst, Far East and Southeast Asia

Akihiro Komuro
Akihiro Komuro

Hitachi Construction Machinery said it is demonstrating a rechargeable all-electric dump truck at a mine in Zambia. It’s the world’s first demonstration of an ultra-large machine with a payload capacity of 200 tons.

Operating conditions and battery life will be verified over a one-year period. The original plan was to have the system in operation by the end of 2024, but the company now plans to launch it in 2025 or later.

The overhead wires will be installed along the mine’s route and the battery will be recharged as it travels along the route. This system allows for more efficient operation than recharging at stops. The batteries mounted on the vehicle body will also be lighter, increasing the payload capacity of the dump truck.

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LG, Hyundai Open Indonesia EV Battery Plant

SOUTH KOREA REPORT

South Korean battery giants LG Energy Solutions and Hyundai Motor have opened their first battery plant in Indonesia. The plant will produce batteries for electric vehicles to be sold locally and in neighboring countries. Indonesian President Joko made the announcement at a ceremony held July 3 in the Karawang region near the capital, Jakarta, to mark the opening of the new plant.

The investment is $1.2 billion, split 50-50 between LG Energy and Hyundai Motor. The annual battery production capacity is 10 GWh, which is equivalent to 150,000 electric vehicles. The plan is to invest an additional $2 billion in the second phase to increase the capacity to 20 GWh.

The company will produce lithium-ion batteries using a cathode material called NCMA. The high nickel content increases battery performance and range. The new plant will be LG Energy’s fifth production site in Southeast Asia, following those in South Korea, Poland, China and the U.S.

LG Energy has already supplied NCMA to Tesla, among others. In addition to Indonesia, the new plant will also serve as an export base for batteries used in electric vehicles sold by Hyundai Motor in neighboring countries in Southeast Asia, India, South Korea and elsewhere.

Source: The Nikkei

PSR Analysis:  South Korea, which is positioning its battery industry as a key national industry, is moving very fast. The fact that it was able to get its battery plant up and running before its competitors may give it an advantage in its future business development in the region. But China’s CATL, the world’s largest EV battery manufacturer, plans to build new factories for batteries, battery materials and battery recycling in Indonesia in cooperation with local companies. The investment is about $6 billion. The news of the new plant in Indonesia is good news for South Korea’s automotive industry, but whether South Korea will be able to maintain a stable supply of EV battery materials in the future remains to be seen yet. PSR

Akihiro Komuro is Research Analyst, Far East and Southeast Asia, for Power Systems Research

Chinese Joint Venture Begins Mississippi Battery Plant

CHINA REPORT
Jack Hao
Jack Hao

ACT Company (AMPLIFY CELL TECHNOLOGIES LLC ), a Chinese a joint venture company, has broken ground for a battery production plant in Mississippi.

ACT Company was established by EVE Energy’s wholly owned subsidiary EVE Energy US, Cummins, Daimler Trucks, and Paccar. The joint venture will produce prismatic lithium iron phosphate batteries, mainly for designated North American commercial vehicle applications. It will have an annual production capacity of about 21GWh and will provide more than 2,000 local jobs.

The project is expected to start shipping in 2026, and the three foreign enterprises and their affiliates will become the main customers, purchasing most of the products from the factory.

ACT Company is the first project of EVE Energy’s CLS model, aiming to enhance the flexibility and competitiveness in the global cooperation process, and to work with more partners to jointly promote sustainable development. The successful beginning of this project marks the entry of EVE Energy into a new stage of global development.

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Alternative Power Report, July 2024

Canada is preparing to join the tariff war against Chinese EVs, according to a report in the July 2024 issue of the Alternative Power Report prepared by Power Systems Research. Another article in the report notes that even thought EV sales are lagging, they’re positioned for long-term growth. And there’s plenty of battery news in this report prepared by PSR analyst Guy Youngs. PSR

Alternative Power Report, June 2024

China may place 25% tariffs on EVs in retaliation for similar moves by the US and the European Union. Read about this as well as articles on new battery development, the decline in diesel sales and a new battery from CATL in the June 2024 Alternative Power Report from Power Systems Research. PSR

Unsold Chinese EVs Clogging European Ports

Guy Youngs
Guy Youngs

The threat of masses of cheap EVs made in China has governments concerned in Europe and the US. The USA has introduced a bill that would raise the tariff on EVs from China to 100% to protect US auto workers “from the existential threat posed by China” but Europe has no such tariff protections. The lack of high import tariffs has encouraged Chinese manufacturers to look to Europe as a place where they can send boatloads (literally) of electric cars.

A report by the Financial Times claims that Chinese manufacturers are sending more EVs to Europe than they can sell, which has led to thousands of EVs being parked at port facilities. The port operators are displeased because the glut of cars is interfering with other port activities. Some now say they are no longer ports but rather car parks for newly arrived Chinese EVs

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